Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Integars

I have only one question about Israel’s military operation in Gaza: What is the goal? Is it the education of Hamas or the eradication of Hamas? I hope that it’s the education of Hamas. Let me explain why.

-Lil' Tommy Friedman
There may be no clearer distillation of the Friedman method than this. Announce that you "have only one question," and then immediately follow that declaration with two. Good god, man, throw in a "by which I mean," for the love of all that's decent.

Friedman goes on to crow that he "was one of the few people who argued back in 2006 that Israel actually won the war in Lebanon started by Hezbollah." This is like touting one's belief, circa 2006, that housing prices would rise twenty percent per annum forever, or claiming to have been one of the people who argued in 1617 that Simplicio made the better argument in Dialogue Concerning the Two Chief World Systems. Friedman's rationale?
Israel’s military was not focused on the morning after the war in Lebanon — when Hezbollah declared victory and the Israeli press declared defeat. It was focused on the morning after the morning after, when all the real business happens in the Middle East. That’s when Lebanese civilians, in anguish, said to Hezbollah: “What were you thinking? Look what destruction you have visited on your own community! For what? For whom?”
Back here on Planet Earth, meanwhile, Hezbollah (along with its coalition partners in the Resistance and Development bloc) has veto power in the Lebanese Parliament and holds eleven of thirty cabinet posts. I wouldn't mind that sort of defeat myself.

In a larger sense--and Friedman is hardly alone in this kind of thinking; he's only the most glaringly moronic exemplar of it--what you see here is the popular, failed strategy of arguing against terrorism and guerrilla resistance on the basis of its efficacy, to pretend, as above for instance, that the mythical "people" will look at the destruction around them and kick out the goons who were "responsible," to pretend that it de-legitimates itself. But the position of Hezbollah wasn't weakened in the '06 war; it was strengthened. People may have disapproved of kidnapping a couple of Israeli soldiers in a dumb effort to game a prisoner exchange, but they blame Israel for killing a thousand Lebanese civilians.

Bombing Gaza, killing a hundred Palestinians for every one Israeli, doesn't affect the popular currency of Hamas. If Israel kills all but one militant in Gaza, Hamas comes out the moral victor. The wet-eyed pro-Israel faction in America may not like it, but there it is. I don't make the news, I just read it, brother.
Israel de facto recognizes Hamas’s right to rule Gaza and to provide for the well-being and security of the people of Gaza — which was actually Hamas’s original campaign message, not rocketing Israel. And, in return, Hamas has to signal a willingness to assume responsibility for a lasting cease-fire and to abandon efforts to change the strategic equation with Israel by deploying longer and longer range rockets.
If Israel "de facto recognize[d] Hamas's [sic] right to rule," then it wouldn't have closed the borders and laid siege. I have just one question for Tom Friedman. Why should Hamas "signal a willingness to assume responsibility for a lasting cease-fire"? By which I mean, what does it benefit Hamas, or Gaza in general? Not with a viable state. Not with a workable economy. Not with open borders, or the right to issue passports, or the ability to travel unrestricted to the West Bank, or compensation for long-since-expropriated property. Hamas can exchange restraint for a calmer imprisonment. Unsurprisingly, they are not moved by the offer.

10 comments:

thepudgiereport said...

Re: the term "education," I guess that's why they're bombing schools. Today's dharma lesson: cluster bombs. Also, let's study ratios. If Israelis kill 100 apples, and Hamas kills 1 apple...Nevermind, class dismissed.

TF also says, "It was not pretty, but it was logical," in regards to Israel killing Lebanese civilians in 2006. Really? Killing civilians is logical? That's a fine mind at work, Mr. Friedman. I'd like to enroll in your Death classes.

Not to nitpick, IOZ, but the reason "the people" won't throw out Hamas isn't as you say; it's because all "the people" are becoming dead.

Christopher said...

that the mythical "people" will look at the destruction around them and kick out the goons who were "responsible,"

I'm always gobsmacked by the bizarre way of assigning blame; This idea that the people of Gaza will say, "Oh my god, Israel had no choice but to bomb that school and kill my children! We need a better government, so that they won't do it anymore!

It seems like, to have that sentiment, you'd need a people who already heavily disapproved of terrorism, or, at the very least, a people who think Israel was completely harmless pre-Hamas.

That is to say, in order for this strategy to "teach" people anything (And my god it's barbaric to talk about war as a teaching tool) thy have to already know and thoroughly believe what you're "teaching" them.

But to me, this is the Friedman money shot:

Israel’s counterstrategy was to use its Air Force to pummel Hezbollah and, while not directly targeting the Lebanese civilians with whom Hezbollah was intertwined, to inflict substantial property damage and collateral casualties on Lebanon at large

Uh, yeah, their strategy was, without targeting civilians, to kill a bunch of civilians and destroy the civilian infrastructure.

Talking about Israel really brings out the inner American brutality.

Justin said...

This was the logic behind the ongoing sanctions program against Saddam as well, that the Iraqis, if squeezed hard enough, would rise up and overthrow Saddam, which would lead to...
regime change, that would, uh... um...

Dunc said...

Yeah, it's totally up to Hamas to assume responsibility for a lasting ceasefire:

We defined "conflict pauses" as periods of one or more days when no one is killed on either side, and we asked which side kills first after conflict pauses of different durations. As shown in Figure 2, this analysis shows that it is overwhelmingly Israel that kills first after a pause in the conflict: 79% of all conflict pauses were interrupted when Israel killed a Palestinian, while only 8% were interrupted by Palestinian attacks (the remaining 13% were interrupted by both sides on the same day).

Still, the stats come from those notorious anti-Semites: B'Tselem.

RJM said...

There's really nothing like having apologies for terrorism printed on the pages of The New York Times.

Violet said...

Not directly related, but his wife's company (General Growth Properties) is really close to filing bankruptcy. I'm hoping he won't be happy having to pay the utilities on that gazillion-square foot house of theirs himself.

fledermaus said...

Friedman's certainty that people will not hate the people dropping bombs on them but instead blame the bombs on other people not resonsible for said bombs never fails to amaze me.

mandt said...

Hamas on toast will soon be all the rage in Zion's better eateries.

Anonymous said...

I should prefer Hamas on hummus, but then I'm a bit queer.

steve said...

People may have disapproved of kidnapping a couple of Israeli soldiers in a dumb effort to game a prisoner exchange, but they blame Israel for killing a thousand Lebanese civilians.

I seem to recall some evidence that this kidnapping was faked, or the area it took place was "moved" over into Israel, or some such. Very suspicious, at any rate.